Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The Strategist
Campaign insider who understands electoral mechanics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
↑+6% edgeTrump has a track record of donning a yarmulke during visits to Jewish religious sites like synagogues, the Western Wall, and the Ohel to demonstrate respect and bolster support from Jewish voters and donors. While 2026 research shows strong Israel ties and White House Hanukkah events, no confirmed photos exist yet, but upcoming holidays (e.g., Hanukkah Dec 4-12) and potential trips offer paths to Yes. Odds undervalue the likelihood given his outreach patterns.
Key Points
- +Historical precedent: Trump wore kippah at 2017 Western Wall, 2018 Tree of Life, 2024 Ohel, and synagogue visits for photo ops and solidarity.
- +Active Jewish coalition-building: Hosts White House Hanukkah receptions, backed by Adelson; pro-Israel wins like Gaza plan incentivize visible gestures amid midterms.
- +Electoral math favors it: Jewish turnout low but donors key; 10+ months left include Hanukkah 2026, Purim, Passover—prime for GOTV-style events or Israel trip.
Key Risks
- !No 2026 synagogue/Israel visits scheduled in research; White House events (e.g., 2025 Hanukkah) feature guests in yarmulkes, not Trump.
- !Low public schedule visibility; private family events (e.g., Kushner bar mitzvah) unphotographed.
- !Base coalition shift: Evangelical core may view as pandering, reducing ground game push.
Catalysts
- →Israel trip or Netanyahu reciprocal visit with Kotel photo op amid peace deals.
- →High-profile Jewish event like Yom HaShoah or Chabad Ohel revisit for hostages.
- →Midterm fundraising rally at synagogue with Adelson donors.
37% estimate beats 31.5% market; history and incentives support edge, but low volume/liquidity warrants medium size to manage volatility in thin market.
Research
Donald Trump current status 2026
Trump public schedule 2026
Trump Jewish community events
Trump Israel relations 2026
Trump recent public appearances
Trump yarmulke 2026 photos
Trump kippah White House 2026
Trump Hanukkah 2025 yarmulke photo
Trump synagogue visit 2026
Trump Israel trip 2026 schedule
Tu B'Shevat 2026 Trump appearance
Trump Passover 2026 White House
Trump Yom Kippur 2026 event
Hanukkah 2026 Trump schedule
Trump wearing kippah recent videos